Showers and Thuderstorms Are Headed to the Borderland!
POSTED: Monday, March 24, 2014 - 7:55pm
UPDATED: Tuesday, March 25, 2014 - 12:33pm
A couple weather systems and some low level moisture will produce scattered rain late Tuesday
Monday, March 24th, 2014 — Rain in the Borderland! That sentence is not uttered to often in the driest city in Texas! Our entire region is under drought conditions with high fire dangers, so any rain is especially welcome right now. El Paso has only seen .18” at the airport, nearly an inch below our normal 1.07” year to date average.
The ingredients will be in place to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms starting early tomorrow. Tuesday evening into the late nighttime hours. In today's "Weather Talk" I will tell you how this recipe will porduce some borderland rainfall.
An upper level trough of low pressure or wave will travel along through Arizona east over the international border tomorrow. Meanwhile, a backdoor cold front will press in from the east tomorrow morning. The upper wave will pull up some mid-level moisture from the Baja of California area as the east southeast surface winds behind the front carry in low level moisture from the Gulf of Mexico.
The upper weather system and the cold front will produce some in some upward motion ahead of the trough and some instability. The combination of the moisture, the unstable atmosphere and the upper wave and cold front will produce scattered showers and even a few isolated gusty thunderstorms. The best shot of a thunderstorm will be in Hudspeth County to our east and perhaps around Alamogordo to our north and east Tuesday afternoon. There may even be some small hail mixed in with these thunderstorms. Do not be surprised if the national Weather Service in El Paso puts out a Severe Thunderstorm Warning late tomorrow in Hudspeth County.
There will be a surface trough of low pressure developing east of the Borderland Wednesday morning. As another weather system, a Pacific cold front will is moving east from the West Coast the winds will increase from the breezy to windy range late Wednesday into Thursday as this system blows through. There may even be some patchy blowing dust Wednesday afternoon into Thursday as well.
Westerly winds and a building ridge of high pressure will clear out the skies late Thursday and will warm the entire region back up into the weekend. The high temperatures are expected to some 10º above average, into the low to mid 80’s Sunday into the start of the work week.
The region will unfortunately stay dry Wednesday well into next week as well.