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Friday, October 17, 2014 - 11:31am

Hurricane Amanda is now a tropical storm

Hurricane Amanda is now a tropical storm
KTSM
Weather Talk

POSTED: Wednesday, May 28, 2014 - 2:42pm

UPDATED: Wednesday, May 28, 2014 - 2:52pm

We've been keeping track of this Pacific May Hurricane and as you may recall, it was labeled a Category 4 this past Sunday.

http://www.ktsm.com/weather/weather-talk/strongest-category-4-may-hurricane-easter-pacific
 

It briefly lost strength before regaining it on Tuesday.

It was only momentarily before resuming a predicted weakening far off Mexico's Pacific coast where it posed no threat to land.

The hurricane's maximum sustained winds were about 105 mph Tuesday afternoon, after rising to 120 mph Tuesday morning.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center said weakening should continue and Amanda was likely to become a tropical storm by Thursday.

Weakening continued so much, that it became a tropical storm early than predicted.

But that is not to say Meteorologists aren't keeping a close eye on it.

After weakening to a tropical storm, NASA's Aqua satellite identified that those strong thunderstorms were limited to the area around the center of its circulation.

The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission satellite known as TRMM passed over Amanda on Saturday May 24, 2014.

That was the day Amanda was upgraded to a hurricane.

At that time, Amanda had winds of about 80.5 mph.

TRMM's Precipitation Radar (PR) instrument had an excellent view of the rain falling at a rate of over 5.8 inches per hour in the northwestern side of the Amanda's eye wall.

Intense storms in that area were reaching heights of over 10.1 miles.

On May 25, Hurricane Amanda had winds speeds estimated at 150 mph.

Two days later on May 27 Amanda was still a very strong hurricane with winds of about 127 mph.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) discussion on May 28 said "although Amanda is producing a considerable amount of deep convection, with cloud tops as cold as -85 C (-121 F), the cloud pattern lacks organization."

Early Wednesday morning on May 28 at 8 a.m. the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was located about 560 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico.

As of Wednesday, Amanda has maximum sustained winds near 65 mph.

The tropical storm was moving toward the northeast near 3 mph and a slightly faster Northeastward motion is expected during the next day or two, according to the National Hurricane Center.

http://phys.org/news/2014-05-trmm-aqua-satellites-peer-tropical.html

So what does this mean for us in borderland?

 As the storm continues to move northeastern, there will be enough moisture in the area to provide the southwestern region of the US with plenty of rainfall.

Take a look at the picture above. You can see plenty of moisture moving into our area.

 As the hurricane moves closer to land, it is easier for the moisture of tropical storm Amanda to spill into our region.

This is a data composite as of 2:30p.m. Wednesday afternoon.

You will notice the dry air is already being pushed out and moist air is spilling in.

 I am predicting there will be enough moisture in El Paso and Las Cruces on Thursday to generate a few isolated thunderstorms.

In fact, I believe there will be enough moisture coming in to provide us with rain through Saturday morning.

At this point it is looking like our best chance to see some real rain is on Friday, when enough moisture from Amanda is accumulated in our region.

This will be our last chance to see some precipitation for the month of May.

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