The Borderland Mountains and Some Lowlands Have 3 Shots at Snow through Friday
POSTED: Wednesday, February 5, 2014 - 1:35pm
UPDATED: Friday, February 7, 2014 - 12:52pm
Arctic Air Meets Some Pacific Upper Waves Bringing Parts of the Borderland Winter Weather
Wednesday, February 5th, 2014 — At the time I am writing this, 10 A.M. Wednesday, February 5th, 2014, there has already been a rain snow mix for the past half hour in Deming, NM. The first of a series of upper level waves is moving in from the west and the edge of a very cold, arctic air mass moving in from the northeast, it looks like the Area Mountains will have three chances at snow over the next 48-72 hours.
We can expect breezy to gusty winds with windy conditions on the west side of the Area Mountains as the edge of this arctic cold front pushes through. Thankfully the borderland will not get a direct hit. There is bitterly cold air to the north of us with highs of 0 to -10 degrees remaining over Montana and highs in the single digits and teens stretch from north and east Idaho southeast to Colorado. Brrrr…no thank you!
The cold front has pushed into Culbertson and Hudspeth counties to our east and will continue pushing west this afternoon into tonight through the region. An upper level is traveling in from Arizona headed east northeast. This system is carrying moisture ahead of it and that is what produced some light snow flurries in Grant County and some rain/snow mix around Deming. I just checked out radar now there is a line of rain showers moving into the New Mexico Boot heel and south of the Border. The metro areas may see some light showers in the next couple of hours. There is also some snow in northern Luna county pushing towards Hatch in northwestern Dona and County. I digress; when the first upper wave his the super cold, arctic air could possibly produce 2 to 3 inches around the 6000 foot level in the southern Sacramento Mountains. There will be a possible 5” to 6” above the 6000 foot level.
There is a Winter Weather Advisory in effect for the Gila Wilderness, most of Grant County including Silver City, NM, western Sierra County and for the Southern section of the Sacramento Mountains which includes Cloudcroft, NM from 11 A.M Wednesday, now, until 11 A.M Thursday morning.
The main section of this upper level trough of low pressure will bring a second shot of snow tonight. This area of the upper wave will be moving slower and could drop another couple inches or so of snow over the Gila Wilderness and the southern Sacramento Mountains.
The lowlands will have isolated snow flurries with possible rain/snow mix today into the early nightime hours. Later tonight all the Borderland will be below freezing so we could see more light snow flurries in the lowlands and some accumulation overnight into early Thursday morning. Northern Dona Ana and parts of Serra and northern Otero counties could see a half inch to an inch accumulation in some spots. The rest of us just have a chance at some isolated snow flurries or just stay dry.
The third and final shot will be when the next upper level wave sweeps in from the west late Thursday night into early Friday. This system has the possibility of adding another inch or two over the Gila Mountains and the southern Sacramento Mountain. There is also could be some light snow accumulation in northern Dona Ana, Sierra and Otero counties. The Arctic air will be quickly replaced on Friday by warmer air to our west some most of the lowlands will just have a shot at some passing light rain showers.
I just look at the radar and the front section of this upper level wave is moving fast! It is already raining in Alamogordo and snowing in Cloudcroft! Just read a Face Book post of snow flurries near the Organs in Las Cruces! Read my recent “Weather Talk”; How Much More Winter Weather Is Left For the Borderland? http://www.ktsm.com/weather/weather-talk/how-much-more-winter-weather-le...
I mention in this article how much longer we will see these cold air masses and weather systems brining in snow. We do start to warm up pretty consistently do in part to our strong, gusty and dusty “windy season” winds!
I for one cherish these colder days. I dress in layers, wear the appropriate weight coat and make sure my hat and gloves are in my car just in case! I also appreciate the cold in a way, because I know by June I will be forecasting many days of upper 90º to 100º plus heat!